tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:51 am at Hartford)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Detroit, leaving 05:30, is the safest bet: 83% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2729 American Flight history → BDL 06:44 DFW 09:58 9% 4% 0.3% 86%
AA 1083 American BDL 15:04 DFW 18:15 20% 4% 1.8% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Hartford). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672 3h 04m Chicago ORD 10:58 → DFW 13:36UA 441 8h 27m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 11:28 → DFW 12:44DL 414 7h 44m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → BDL 08:05 → ATL 10:29DL 2233 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 13:53 → DFW 15:12DL 921 8h 07m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → BDL 17:13 → ATL 19:51DL 2739 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818 8h 00m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → BDL 08:07 → DEN 10:37UA 364 2h 41m Denver DEN 13:18 → DFW 16:22UA 578 9h 15m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → BDL 07:08 → CLT 09:13AA 3182 4h 00m Charlotte CLT 13:13 → DFW 15:09AA 1690 9h 01m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → BDL 15:30 → DEN 17:58UA 2239 2h 55m Denver DEN 20:53 → DFW 23:59UA 2239 9h 29m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → BDL 11:35 → ATL 14:03DL 2951 1h 30m Atlanta ATL 15:33 → DFW 16:53DL 374 6h 18m 97% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON