tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3417 Southwest BNA 10:33 CHS 13:03 10% 2% 0.5% no record
WN 3531 Southwest BNA 17:35 CHS 20:08 14% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:22 → IAD 11:10UA 1709 1h 57m Dulles IAD 13:07 → CHS 15:06UA 1952 5h 44m 99% 94%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107 5h 50m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381 5h 05m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 07:32 → ATL 09:45DL 2802 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179 5h 10m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:54 → ATL 13:04DL 1155 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 15:59 → CHS 17:16DL 2174 5h 22m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → BNA 10:20 → PHL 13:31AA 2605 2h 16m Philadelphia PHL 15:47 → CHS 17:40AA 1934 6h 20m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → BNA 16:09 → PHL 19:26AA 868 2h 20m Philadelphia PHL 21:46 → CHS 23:35AA 1193 6h 26m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → BNA 12:38 → ATL 14:50DL 2867 2h 54m Atlanta ATL 17:44 → CHS 18:59DL 3179 5h 21m 99% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON