Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2785 Delta Flight history →	BOS 12:06	CHS 14:40	8%	3%	0.7%	80%
B6 567 JetBlue	BOS 09:06	CHS 11:41	11%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	BOS 09:25 → IAD 11:07UA 2098	2h 00m Dulles	IAD 13:07 → CHS 15:06UA 1952	5h 41m	99%	94%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	6h 30m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	BOS 06:45 → ATL 09:34DL 695	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179	6h 57m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	BOS 08:00 → ATL 10:51DL 923	3h 49m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381	7h 53m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	BOS 16:30 → ATL 19:38DL 399	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850	7h 56m	99%	89%
American Details →	BOS 05:54 → PHL 07:38AA 1540	2h 52m Philadelphia	PHL 10:30 → CHS 12:29AA 2447	6h 35m	99%	89%
American Details →	BOS 11:01 → PHL 12:40AA 2086	3h 07m Philadelphia	PHL 15:47 → CHS 17:40AA 1934	6h 39m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	BOS 10:15 → ATL 13:04DL 385	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:59 → CHS 17:16DL 2174	7h 01m	99%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON