tailodds FORECAST
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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Dulles, leaving 05:45, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching San Antonio on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 60% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 816 Delta Flight history → BOS 09:00 SAT 12:24 12% 3% 0.6% 58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Boston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOS 08:30 → CLE 10:35DL 5674 · flown by Republic 1h 26m Cleveland CLE 12:01 → SAT 14:10DL 816 6h 40m 98% 93%
UnitedDetails → BOS 05:45 → IAD 07:23UA 1734 1h 02m Dulles IAD 08:25 → SAT 10:59UA 1789 6h 14m 98% 91%
SouthwestDetails → BOS 08:34 → BNA 10:16WN 725 2h 13m Nashville BNA 12:29 → SAT 14:44WN 1009 7h 10m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → BOS 07:45 → DEN 10:19UA 647 3h 25m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 10h 10m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → BOS 06:00 → ORD 07:58UA 1414 1h 27m Chicago ORD 09:25 → SAT 12:29UA 490 7h 29m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 9h 08m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BOS 06:05 → JFK 07:30DL 2611 1h 00m New York JFK 08:30 → SAT 11:42DL 1166 6h 37m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → BOS 14:15 → IAD 15:57UA 721 1h 48m Dulles IAD 17:45 → SAT 20:22UA 1869 7h 07m 97% 88%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → BOS 07:03 → SEA 10:26AS 459 48m Seattle SEA 11:14 → SAT 17:20AS 9461 11h 17m 60% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON