tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: AA 2599 at 07:01 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 23%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2599 American Flight history → BUR 07:01 DFW 12:19 8% 3% 1.3% 92%
AA 1208 American Flight history → BUR 12:30 DFW 17:42 23% 6% 1.3% 73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 2h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796 6h 48m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → BUR 07:00 → SLC 10:01DL 2582 3h 49m Salt Lake City SLC 13:50 → DFW 17:33DL 2811 8h 33m 99% 85%
AlaskaDetails → BUR 07:09 → PDX 09:27AS 562 1h 18m Portland PDX 10:45 → DFW 16:42AS 392 7h 33m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187 2h 37m Denver DEN 18:53 → DFW 21:59UA 1565 7h 11m 97% 82%
FrontierDetails → BUR 13:11 → LAS 14:32F9 4108 3h 22m Las Vegas LAS 17:54 → DFW 22:45F9 1948 7h 34m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → BUR 07:00 → SFO 08:28UA 488 1h 57m San Francisco SFO 10:25 → DFW 16:08UA 2842 7h 08m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → BUR 13:55 → ATL 21:42DL 483 1h 12m Atlanta ATL 22:54 → DFW 00:13 +1DL 818 8h 18m 89% 79%
UnitedDetails → BUR 13:45 → SFO 15:13UA 1453 1h 40m San Francisco SFO 16:53 → DFW 22:35UA 1336 6h 50m 91% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → BUR 11:14 → SEA 13:46AS 1388 46m Seattle SEA 14:32 → DFW 20:21AS 485 7h 07m 55% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON