Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day


DL 5092 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	CHS 07:10	DTW 09:19	12%	10%	5.5%	88%
DL 5431 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	CHS 13:00	DTW 15:11	24%	11%	0.0%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 09:41 → ATL 11:00DL 5450 · flown by Endeavor	2h 47m Atlanta	ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031	6h 01m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055	2h 01m Atlanta	ATL 08:18 → DTW 10:17DL 643	5h 07m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 41m	99%	91%
American Details →	CHS 08:48 → CLT 10:15AA 5817 · flown by Piedmont	2h 09m Charlotte	CLT 12:24 → DTW 14:15AA 1683	5h 27m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	CHS 13:05 → ATL 14:20DL 3107	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 18:11 → DTW 20:13DL 1478	7h 08m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	CHS 11:18 → ATL 12:27DL 3091	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 15:28 → DTW 17:27DL 1005	6h 09m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	CHS 18:28 → ATL 19:46DL 2174	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → DTW 00:59 +1DL 2940	6h 31m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	CHS 17:00 → ATL 18:19DL 1381	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 21:45 → DTW 23:44DL 651	6h 44m	100%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON