tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:55 am at Charleston)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, MX 9450 at 13:31, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
MX 9450 Breeze CHS 13:31 FLL 15:34 11% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHS 13:05 → ATL 14:20DL 3107 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 5h 35m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → CHS 11:18 → ATL 12:27DL 3091 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 15:25 → FLL 17:23DL 2345 6h 05m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → CHS 17:39 → ATL 19:00DL 2174 3h 45m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 7h 00m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → CHS 14:56 → EWR 16:58UA 2693 2h 31m Newark EWR 19:29 → FLL 22:29UA 435 7h 33m 93% 82%
DeltaDetails → CHS 13:58 → ATL 15:19DL 2179 2h 26m Atlanta ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670 5h 45m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → CHS 15:10 → MSP 17:10DL 2463 1h 14m Minneapolis MSP 18:24 → FLL 23:02DL 1675 7h 52m 93% 80%
AmericanDetails → CHS 17:37 → CLT 18:43AA 1927 1h 32m Charlotte CLT 20:15 → FLL 22:25AA 3022 4h 48m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → CHS 16:14 → ATL 17:35DL 1381 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 5h 42m 98% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON