tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1155 United CHS 07:01 IAH 08:54 10% 3% 0.7% no record
UA 6329 United flown by Mesa Flight history → CHS 16:59 IAH 18:40 15% 4% 1.8% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → CHS 07:59 → ORD 09:32UA 2333 3h 08m Chicago ORD 12:40 → IAH 15:40UA 1448 8h 41m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055 3h 48m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 7h 04m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:00 → EWR 07:59UA 1289 2h 54m Newark EWR 10:53 → IAH 13:38UA 556 8h 38m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → CHS 09:30 → ATL 10:54DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 14:48 → IAH 16:00DL 1874 7h 30m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → CHS 07:25 → DTW 09:29DL 5092 · flown by Endeavor 3h 11m Detroit DTW 12:40 → IAH 14:39DL 1307 8h 14m 96% 84%
AmericanDetails → CHS 05:58 → MIA 07:44AA 1763 1h 13m Miami MIA 08:57 → IAH 10:58AA 3100 6h 00m 95% 83%
DeltaDetails → CHS 08:20 → ATL 09:34DL 789 2h 44m Atlanta ATL 12:18 → IAH 13:29DL 2709 6h 09m 96% 83%
DeltaDetails → CHS 18:28 → ATL 19:46DL 2174 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → IAH 23:57DL 1601 6h 29m 99% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON