Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 15:10, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	CHS 15:10	MSP 17:10	13%	3%	0.6%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	6h 08m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	6h 15m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	CHS 09:31 → ATL 10:56DL 5475 · flown by Endeavor	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	7h 35m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	CHS 08:20 → ATL 09:34DL 789	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 30m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	CHS 18:28 → ATL 19:46DL 2174	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → MSP 00:39 +1DL 1310	7h 11m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CHS 15:35 → BOS 18:04DL 2785	3h 36m Boston	BOS 21:40 → MSP 23:57DL 1308	9h 22m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:32 → JFK 08:28DL 5445 · flown by Endeavor	3h 07m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	8h 18m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	CHS 13:05 → ATL 14:20DL 3107	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	6h 13m	98%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON