Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: one nonstop, WN 3346 at 12:21, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3346 Southwest	DAL 12:21	MIA 16:12	16%	4%	0.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	1h 43m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → MIA 13:02DL 1332	5h 57m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 22:53 → MIA 00:55 +1DL 1589	7h 56m	99%	84%
Southwest Details →	DAL 14:00 → HOU 15:15WN 31	3h 17m Houston	HOU 18:32 → MIA 22:08WN 4422	7h 08m	100%	75%
Delta Details →	DAL 11:58 → ATL 15:12DL 441	1h 42m Atlanta	ATL 16:54 → MIA 18:51DL 719	5h 53m	98%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON