tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 952 American Flight history → DFW 08:55 BZN 11:04 6% 2% 0.6% 84%
AA 947 American Flight history → DFW 13:29 BZN 15:34 11% 3% 0.6% 56%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bozeman on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798 3h 00m Salt Lake City SLC 17:20 → BZN 18:44DL 3676 · flown by SkyWest 7h 14m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276 1h 38m Minneapolis MSP 11:01 → BZN 12:35DL 2946 6h 40m 97% 92%
AmericanDetails → DFW 04:59 → ORD 07:36AA 1938 3h 40m Chicago ORD 11:16 → BZN 13:40AA 1080 9h 41m 100% 92%
AmericanDetails → DFW 04:47 → CLT 08:21AA 1091 1h 44m Charlotte CLT 10:05 → BZN 12:30AA 2415 8h 43m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → DFW 10:06 → ATL 13:25DL 839 1h 03m Atlanta ATL 14:28 → BZN 16:26DL 406 7h 20m 95% 88%
DeltaDetails → DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291 1h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 10:46 → BZN 12:09DL 9968 5h 24m 96% 88%
DeltaDetails → DFW 06:30 → SEA 08:46DL 804 2h 54m Seattle SEA 11:40 → BZN 14:35DL 4104 · flown by SkyWest 9h 05m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → DFW 10:34 → ORD 13:04UA 1634 3h 36m Chicago ORD 16:40 → BZN 18:57UA 1920 9h 23m 98% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON