tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OH 5159 PSA ECP 08:16 CLT 10:52 7% 4% 2.1% no record
OH 5126 PSA ECP 13:22 CLT 15:58 9% 3% 2.1% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Panama City Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ECP 17:03 → ATL 19:21DL 3094 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177 5h 55m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → ECP 07:50 → ATL 10:00DL 1674 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157 4h 41m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → ECP 06:00 → ATL 08:13DL 3114 1h 57m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190 4h 26m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → ECP 09:12 → ATL 11:20DL 3048 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 15:00 → CLT 16:17DL 3031 6h 05m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → ECP 14:47 → ATL 17:00DL 2823 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 18:54 → CLT 20:05DL 2132 4h 18m 97% 85%
AmericanDetails → ECP 07:37 → DFW 10:06AA 4120 · flown by Envoy 1h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696 6h 59m 96% 82%
AmericanDetails → ECP 12:13 → DFW 14:21AA 3625 · flown by Envoy 1h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:57 → CLT 19:35AA 2013 6h 22m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → ECP 09:00 → IAH 10:57UA 4034 · flown by Mesa 1h 13m Houston IAH 12:10 → CLT 16:02UA 6197 · flown by Mesa 6h 02m 90% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON