tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3009 SkyWest EUG 07:08 SAN 09:40 16% 8% 1.0% no record
WN 430 Southwest EUG 13:00 SAN 15:15 25% 6% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → EUG 16:43 → SLC 19:41DL 4105 · flown by SkyWest 3h 14m Salt Lake City SLC 22:55 → SAN 23:50DL 1202 7h 07m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → EUG 06:00 → SLC 08:53DL 3708 · flown by SkyWest 2h 17m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 6h 08m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → EUG 05:00 → DEN 08:37UA 1241 2h 38m Denver DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940 7h 41m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → EUG 06:00 → SFO 07:35UA 335 2h 30m San Francisco SFO 10:05 → SAN 11:51UA 2177 5h 51m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → EUG 06:30 → PHX 09:09AA 4048 · flown by Envoy 1h 39m Phoenix PHX 10:48 → SAN 12:23AA 2122 5h 53m 95% 81%
AlaskaDetails → EUG 05:20 → PDX 06:06AS 2053 · flown by Horizon 1h 26m Portland PDX 07:32 → SAN 10:05AS 577 4h 45m 98% 81%
AlaskaDetails → EUG 05:22 → PDX 06:22AS 3040 · flown by SkyWest 3h 13m Portland PDX 09:35 → SAN 11:47AS 721 6h 25m 99% 78%
AlaskaDetails → EUG 17:43 → SEA 18:52AS 2339 · flown by Horizon 2h 13m Seattle SEA 21:05 → SAN 23:30AS 247 5h 47m 97% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON