tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:52 am at Grand Rapids)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Orlando on time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → GRR 07:00 → MSP 07:32DL 2913 1h 55m Minneapolis MSP 09:27 → MCO 13:40DL 1208 6h 40m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → GRR 05:56 → DTW 06:57DL 4885 · flown by Endeavor 1h 48m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MCO 11:23DL 1455 5h 27m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → GRR 07:08 → ORD 07:16UA 2099 2h 24m Chicago ORD 09:40 → MCO 13:31UA 1643 6h 23m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → GRR 06:05 → EWR 08:00UA 3718 · flown by Republic 57m Newark EWR 08:57 → MCO 11:44UA 486 5h 39m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → GRR 06:10 → ATL 08:14DL 2453 1h 11m Atlanta ATL 09:25 → MCO 10:57DL 1658 4h 47m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → GRR 07:53 → ATL 09:56DL 2161 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 12:58 → MCO 14:27DL 1576 6h 34m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → GRR 15:37 → DEN 16:30UA 2745 1h 22m Denver DEN 17:52 → MCO 23:41UA 259 8h 04m 95% 75%
UnitedDetails → GRR 08:54 → ORD 09:10UA 1113 1h 50m Chicago ORD 11:00 → MCO 15:03UA 2008 6h 09m 95% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON