tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 3:06 am at Greensboro)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AA 3640 at 07:02, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
AA 3640 American flown by Envoy Flight history → GSO 07:02 MIA 09:10 8% 3% 0.6% 91%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → GSO 05:25 → ATL 06:38DL 3018 52m Atlanta ATL 07:30 → MIA 09:30DL 2836 4h 05m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → GSO 06:25 → DTW 08:05DL 5088 · flown by Endeavor 1h 17m Detroit DTW 09:22 → MIA 12:28DL 1468 6h 03m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → GSO 06:35 → ATL 07:56DL 3004 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → MIA 13:02DL 1332 6h 27m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → GSO 06:00 → IAD 07:18UA 4251 · flown by CommuteAir 58m Dulles IAD 08:16 → MIA 11:14UA 1073 5h 14m 94% 86%
AmericanDetails → GSO 08:13 → CLT 09:04AA 3965 · flown by Envoy 1h 58m Charlotte CLT 11:02 → MIA 13:11AA 969 4h 58m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → GSO 06:01 → LGA 07:45AA 4720 · flown by Republic 1h 43m New York LGA 09:28 → MIA 12:45AA 3211 6h 44m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → GSO 06:20 → CLT 07:22AA 1078 1h 40m Charlotte CLT 09:02 → MIA 11:12AA 3184 4h 52m 94% 81%
DeltaDetails → GSO 10:14 → ATL 11:31DL 3173 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 14:50 → MIA 16:55DL 1386 6h 41m 100% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON