tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 408 SkyWest IAH 19:57 CHA 23:19 14% 5% 0.7% no record
UA 5091 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → IAH 12:50 CHA 16:03 16% 6% 0.6% 69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Chattanooga is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 11:33 → CHA 12:22DL 1737 5h 42m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:30 → DTW 09:18DL 1389 3h 50m Detroit DTW 13:08 → CHA 14:53DL 5117 · flown by Endeavor 8h 23m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → IAH 12:09 → ATL 15:21DL 1682 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 18:26 → CHA 19:28DL 5376 · flown by Endeavor 6h 19m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → IAH 09:41 → ATL 12:48DL 1585 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → CHA 17:40DL 3124 6h 59m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → ATL 10:04DL 1315 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 13:09 → CHA 14:07DL 4925 · flown by Endeavor 6h 07m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → IAH 14:38 → ATL 17:54DL 1572 3h 53m Atlanta ATL 21:47 → CHA 22:42DL 1059 7h 04m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → LGA 11:33DL 1417 2h 12m New York LGA 13:45 → CHA 16:00DL 4675 · flown by Endeavor 8h 00m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → IAH 10:43 → CLT 14:19AA 2445 3h 12m Charlotte CLT 17:31 → CHA 18:41AA 5964 · flown by Piedmont 6h 58m 99% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → IAH 09:48 → EWR 14:27UA 2402 48m Newark EWR 15:15 → CHA 17:37UA 4419 · flown by GoJet 6h 49m 74% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON