Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 10:30, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	MSP 10:30	CHS 14:15	9%	2%	0.7%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	2h 47m Atlanta	ATL 11:41 → CHS 12:53DL 2179	6h 33m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	3h 23m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → CHS 15:07DL 1381	7h 07m	99%	90%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 57m Denver	DEN 09:50 → CHS 15:14UA 1003	8h 29m	99%	90%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 14m Chicago	ORD 10:58 → CHS 14:23UA 2631	7h 23m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:17 → CHS 16:29DL 2174	7h 03m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → BOS 10:45DL 2649	1h 21m Boston	BOS 12:06 → CHS 14:40DL 2785	6h 40m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:55 → JFK 10:39DL 2969	3h 14m New York	JFK 13:53 → CHS 16:05DL 5200 · flown by Endeavor	8h 10m	99%	86%
United Details →	MSP 07:35 → IAH 10:30UA 2460	2h 05m Houston	IAH 12:35 → CHS 16:13UA 6295 · flown by Mesa	7h 38m	99%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON