tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 1323 Alaska PDX 10:33 PSP 12:59 15% 3% 0.7% no record
AS 3022 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → PDX 17:36 PSP 20:14 18% 5% 0.7% 68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PDX 05:45 → SLC 08:33DL 1270 2h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest 5h 56m 99% 95%
DeltaDetails → PDX 09:45 → SLC 12:33DL 1203 3h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 6h 48m 99% 94%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:15 → SFO 07:01UA 1896 1h 25m San Francisco SFO 08:26 → PSP 10:04UA 717 4h 49m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → PDX 05:00 → DEN 08:31UA 459 2h 39m Denver DEN 11:10 → PSP 12:31UA 687 7h 31m 98% 85%
AlaskaDetails → PDX 14:49 → SFO 16:40AS 236 3h 39m San Francisco SFO 20:19 → PSP 21:57AS 3356 · flown by SkyWest 7h 08m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → PDX 12:50 → DEN 16:28UA 1411 2h 59m Denver DEN 19:27 → PSP 20:59UA 2644 8h 09m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → PDX 13:00 → SFO 15:15UA 751 3h 23m San Francisco SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest 7h 26m 99% 80%
AmericanDetails → PDX 05:20 → PHX 08:00AA 2658 2h 35m Phoenix PHX 10:35 → PSP 11:53AA 1884 6h 33m 97% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → PDX 12:21 → SEA 13:25AS 3038 · flown by SkyWest 1h 01m Seattle SEA 14:26 → PSP 17:04AS 322 4h 43m 73% 56%
AlaskaDetails → PDX 08:07 → SEA 09:06AS 376 1h 19m Seattle SEA 10:25 → PSP 13:04AS 457 4h 57m 66% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON