Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: AA 2425 at 06:01 is the safest bet, 6% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 18%.

Nonstops that day


AA 2425 American Flight history →	PSP 06:01	DFW 11:02	6%	4%	0.8%	93%
AA 2548 American Flight history →	PSP 15:50	DFW 20:53	18%	6%	0.7%	65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Palm Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	PSP 05:05 → DEN 08:15UA 1010	1h 28m Denver	DEN 09:43 → DFW 12:49UA 1350	5h 44m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest	56m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800	5h 24m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	PSP 12:23 → SLC 15:11DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	2h 29m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796	7h 00m	98%	84%
United Details →	PSP 09:02 → DEN 12:18UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest	3h 19m Denver	DEN 15:37 → DFW 18:39UA 2230	7h 37m	100%	84%
United Details →	PSP 13:30 → DEN 16:43UA 1843	2h 10m Denver	DEN 18:53 → DFW 21:59UA 1565	6h 29m	97%	83%
Alaska Details →	PSP 07:44 → SEA 10:40AS 3284 · flown by SkyWest	3h 52m Seattle	SEA 14:32 → DFW 20:21AS 485	10h 37m	99%	75%
United Details →	PSP 13:29 → SFO 15:24UA 1430	1h 29m San Francisco	SFO 16:53 → DFW 22:35UA 1336	7h 06m	91%	75%
Alaska Details →	PSP 07:16 → PDX 09:48AS 3370 · flown by SkyWest	57m Portland	PDX 10:45 → DFW 16:42AS 392	7h 26m	92%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON