tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 3364 at 08:45, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3364 Southwest RNO 08:45 BUR 10:01 6% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RNO 09:05 → SLC 11:40DL 3719 · flown by SkyWest 3h 25m Salt Lake City SLC 15:05 → BUR 16:12DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest 7h 07m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → RNO 05:30 → SLC 07:52DL 1650 2h 53m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 6h 24m 99% 94%
UnitedDetails → RNO 05:49 → SFO 07:03UA 1954 1h 30m San Francisco SFO 08:33 → BUR 09:57UA 2363 4h 08m 100% 93%
UnitedDetails → RNO 05:30 → DEN 08:47UA 225 2h 28m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 7h 18m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → RNO 13:49 → SFO 15:05UA 2279 3h 46m San Francisco SFO 18:51 → BUR 20:23UA 2001 6h 34m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → RNO 13:41 → DEN 16:55UA 1534 2h 33m Denver DEN 19:28 → BUR 20:58UA 2411 7h 17m 96% 81%
UnitedDetails → RNO 08:09 → SFO 09:23UA 755 1h 00m San Francisco SFO 10:23 → BUR 11:49UA 2115 3h 40m 83% 73%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON