Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:21 am at Fort Myers)

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


B6 1552 JetBlue Flight history →	RSW 10:33	HPN 13:30	9%	3%	0.5%	90%
B6 1252 JetBlue Flight history →	RSW 17:05	HPN 20:13	9%	5%	1.3%	76%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 12:02 → HPN 14:35DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	7h 50m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	RSW 15:41 → ATL 17:34DL 1196	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	6h 44m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 15:24 → HPN 17:56DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	7h 08m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 09:28 → HPN 11:55DL 2973	6h 20m	97%	83%
American Details →	RSW 07:47 → CLT 09:52AA 2241	1h 14m Charlotte	CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA	5h 26m	93%	80%
American Details →	RSW 11:21 → DCA 13:56AA 2916	3h 04m Washington	DCA 17:00 → HPN 18:28AA 5236 · flown by PSA	7h 07m	97%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON