tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2765 at 11:46, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2765 Southwest RSW 11:46 IND 14:18 14% 3% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → RSW 08:26 → ORD 10:28UA 2347 2h 19m Chicago ORD 12:47 → IND 15:03UA 3702 · flown by Republic 6h 37m 100% 94%
UnitedDetails → RSW 13:54 → ORD 16:09UA 2472 3h 36m Chicago ORD 19:45 → IND 22:05UA 3707 · flown by Republic 8h 11m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → RSW 12:28 → ORD 14:53UA 2494 2h 45m Chicago ORD 17:38 → IND 19:56UA 3628 · flown by Republic 7h 28m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → IND 12:36DL 3013 5h 51m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395 3h 58m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → IND 15:19DL 3134 7h 16m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 15:55 → IND 17:35DL 2979 6h 47m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385 1h 44m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → IND 10:33DL 2952 4h 58m 95% 89%
DeltaDetails → RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153 2h 30m Atlanta ATL 17:35 → IND 19:10DL 3120 5h 54m 99% 88%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → RSW 17:44 → PHL 20:28AA 1866 1h 17m Philadelphia PHL 21:45 → IND 23:40AA 682 5h 56m 75% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON