tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 2221 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SAN 11:38 BZN 15:24 42% 10% 1.9% 58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bozeman on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 17:01 → SLC 19:59DL 1210 3h 06m Salt Lake City SLC 23:05 → BZN 00:23 +1DL 2046 6h 22m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAN 13:36 → SEA 16:32DL 2533 3h 27m Seattle SEA 19:59 → BZN 22:49DL 4039 · flown by SkyWest 8h 13m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → SLC 09:21DL 1117 1h 25m Salt Lake City SLC 10:46 → BZN 12:09DL 9968 4h 54m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAN 15:19 → MSP 20:58DL 2191 1h 25m Minneapolis MSP 22:23 → BZN 23:52DL 2954 7h 33m 95% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAN 12:33 → DEN 16:06UA 1565 3h 19m Denver DEN 19:25 → BZN 21:14UA 1347 7h 41m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:20 → DFW 11:35AA 2535 1h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:29 → BZN 15:34AA 947 8h 14m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 1h 27m Denver DEN 13:44 → BZN 15:33UA 513 5h 48m 94% 84%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 06:50 → PDX 09:29AS 399 1h 01m Portland PDX 10:30 → BZN 13:10AS 393 5h 20m 91% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SAN 17:06 → SEA 19:44AS 1373 46m Seattle SEA 20:30 → BZN 23:03AS 1323 4h 57m 17% 14%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON