tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3500 Southwest SAT 11:35 MCI 13:33 8% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 3722 Southwest SAT 13:05 MCI 15:09 12% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:30 → SLC 08:21DL 2592 2h 13m Salt Lake City SLC 10:34 → MCI 13:57DL 2882 7h 27m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAT 05:20 → ATL 08:46DL 1073 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → MCI 12:13DL 2747 6h 53m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAT 07:40 → ATL 11:06DL 998 2h 18m Atlanta ATL 13:24 → MCI 14:29DL 1443 6h 49m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → SAT 04:51 → DFW 06:13AA 2616 56m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:09 → MCI 08:55AA 2430 4h 04m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAT 06:05 → MSP 08:59DL 2717 1h 03m Minneapolis MSP 10:02 → MCI 11:40DL 1349 5h 35m 94% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAT 06:40 → ORD 09:38UA 1332 3h 02m Chicago ORD 12:40 → MCI 14:20UA 561 7h 40m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAT 08:53 → DEN 10:11UA 2853 3h 29m Denver DEN 13:40 → MCI 16:22UA 586 7h 29m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → SAT 05:01 → DFW 06:18AA 2342 3h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:23 → MCI 11:09AA 3331 6h 08m 99% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SAT 16:19 → DFW 17:39AA 1961 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:27 → MCI 20:04AA 2267 3h 45m 74% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON