tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1028 Delta SLC 00:14 BWI 06:32 7% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 3657 Southwest SLC 11:26 BWI 17:31 11% 2% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 3h 41m Detroit DTW 15:05 → BWI 16:41DL 2480 8h 41m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:50 → BOS 16:36DL 657 3h 59m Boston BOS 20:35 → BWI 22:29DL 5851 · flown by Republic 10h 39m 100% 93%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 2h 14m San Francisco SFO 09:33 → BWI 17:57UA 2664 9h 52m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916 3h 12m Minneapolis MSP 14:41 → BWI 18:15DL 2565 8h 15m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:24 → ORD 17:29AA 3258 2h 03m Chicago ORD 19:32 → BWI 22:42AA 4663 · flown by Republic 7h 18m 98% 91%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 52m Denver DEN 09:46 → BWI 15:17UA 1362 8h 02m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924 3h 15m Minneapolis MSP 17:55 → BWI 21:32DL 2918 8h 22m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 18m Atlanta ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799 6h 53m 98% 90%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON