tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3331 SkyWest TUS 06:03 PDX 09:15 6% 3% 0.6% no record
QX 2337 Horizon TUS 10:32 PDX 13:35 12% 3% 1.3% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TUS 07:05 → SLC 10:07DL 3745 · flown by SkyWest 1h 08m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 5h 05m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → TUS 13:15 → SFO 15:42UA 5583 · flown by SkyWest 3h 29m San Francisco SFO 19:11 → PDX 21:13UA 1227 7h 58m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → TUS 11:16 → SLC 14:13DL 3718 · flown by SkyWest 1h 04m Salt Lake City SLC 15:17 → PDX 16:09DL 1244 4h 53m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → TUS 06:20 → LAX 08:00DL 3502 · flown by SkyWest 2h 00m Los Angeles LAX 10:00 → PDX 12:20DL 2766 6h 00m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → TUS 07:13 → SFO 09:53UA 4683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 38m San Francisco SFO 12:31 → PDX 14:25UA 2851 7h 12m 98% 83%
AmericanDetails → TUS 05:01 → DFW 09:27AA 2193 1h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:16 → PDX 13:23AA 2496 8h 22m 98% 82%
AlaskaDetails → TUS 14:29 → SEA 17:44AS 641 3h 17m Seattle SEA 21:01 → PDX 22:02AS 1867 7h 33m 99% 78%
AmericanDetails → TUS 09:30 → DFW 13:52AA 1014 1h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:04 → PDX 17:10AA 2028 7h 40m 90% 69%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON