Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Southwest via Denver, leaving 07:05, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Burbank on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 483 Delta Flight history →	ATL 11:19	BUR 12:55	9%	2%	0.9%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	2h 55m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:05 → BUR 16:12DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest	9h 02m	100%	93%
Southwest Details →	ATL 07:05 → DEN 08:07WN 204	1h 02m Denver	DEN 09:09 → BUR 10:43WN 4179	6h 38m	95%	90%
Southwest Details →	ATL 07:27 → LAS 08:24WN 212	3h 25m Las Vegas	LAS 11:49 → BUR 13:00WN 2133	8h 33m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	3h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:50 → BUR 21:48DL 339	9h 28m	100%	87%
United Details →	ATL 08:46 → DEN 10:14UA 340	1h 01m Denver	DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154	7h 02m	95%	86%
American Details →	ATL 16:19 → DFW 17:49AA 1008	2h 57m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:46 → BUR 21:58AA 2597	8h 39m	99%	76%
Alaska Details →	ATL 08:54 → SEA 11:20AS 348	2h 36m Seattle	SEA 13:56 → BUR 16:23AS 529	10h 29m	98%	72%
United Details →	ATL 07:00 → SFO 09:05UA 571	1h 20m San Francisco	SFO 10:25 → BUR 11:51UA 2115	7h 51m	97%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON