Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 08:15, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Spokane on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 814 Delta	ATL 09:54	GEG 11:33	8%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 3 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	3h 19m Minneapolis	MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437	8h 56m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	3h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	8h 58m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	ATL 17:58 → LAX 19:30DL 500	1h 55m Los Angeles	LAX 21:25 → GEG 00:02 +1DL 3576 · flown by SkyWest	9h 04m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	ATL 14:38 → SEA 16:49DL 481	3h 08m Seattle	SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest	9h 35m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → LAX 09:48DL 898	3h 12m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 20m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830	1h 16m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 57m	97%	87%
Southwest Details →	ATL 07:27 → LAS 08:24WN 212	58m Las Vegas	LAS 09:22 → GEG 11:42WN 452	7h 15m	95%	86%
Delta Details →	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	3h 13m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	8h 55m	100%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON