Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 3364 at 08:54, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3364 Southwest	RNO 08:54	BUR 10:19	7%	2%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RNO 05:30 → SLC 07:52DL 1650	2h 53m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	6h 24m	99%	94%
Delta Details →	RNO 09:05 → SLC 11:40DL 3719 · flown by SkyWest	3h 25m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:05 → BUR 16:12DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest	7h 07m	100%	93%
United Details →	RNO 05:56 → SFO 07:24UA 1954	1h 09m San Francisco	SFO 08:33 → BUR 09:57UA 2363	4h 01m	99%	90%
United Details →	RNO 05:30 → DEN 08:47UA 225	2h 28m Denver	DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154	7h 18m	100%	90%
United Details →	RNO 13:54 → SFO 15:24UA 2279	3h 14m San Francisco	SFO 18:38 → BUR 20:00UA 2001	6h 06m	99%	88%
United Details →	RNO 11:38 → SFO 13:03UA 5899 · flown by SkyWest	3h 12m San Francisco	SFO 16:15 → BUR 17:42UA 2764	6h 04m	100%	85%
United Details →	RNO 13:41 → DEN 16:55UA 1534	2h 18m Denver	DEN 19:13 → BUR 20:43UA 2411	7h 02m	96%	80%
United Details →	RNO 08:06 → SFO 09:17UA 755	1h 08m San Francisco	SFO 10:25 → BUR 11:51UA 2115	3h 45m	84%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON