tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: WN 3201 at 07:59 is the safest bet, 5% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 22%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3201 Southwest TPA 07:59 CMH 10:17 5% 2% 0.9% no record
WN 1523 Southwest TPA 18:17 CMH 20:36 22% 7% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TPA 06:15 → ATL 07:50DL 1726 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CMH 11:48DL 1522 5h 33m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → TPA 07:30 → ATL 09:07DL 1486 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750 6h 08m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → TPA 10:00 → ATL 11:35DL 2605 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 14:21 → CMH 16:03DL 2892 6h 03m 99% 92%
UnitedDetails → TPA 06:11 → EWR 09:04UA 2439 1h 34m Newark EWR 10:38 → CMH 12:33UA 3638 · flown by Republic 6h 22m 98% 92%
DeltaDetails → TPA 14:00 → DTW 16:48DL 2587 3h 06m Detroit DTW 19:54 → CMH 21:02DL 5838 · flown by Republic 7h 02m 98% 91%
AmericanDetails → TPA 16:09 → PHL 19:05AA 809 2h 45m Philadelphia PHL 21:50 → CMH 23:41AA 4361 · flown by Republic 7h 32m 95% 90%
DeltaDetails → TPA 12:34 → ATL 14:10DL 1587 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786 6h 29m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → TPA 07:30 → LGA 10:15DL 2723 1h 25m New York LGA 11:40 → CMH 13:35DL 5669 · flown by Republic 6h 05m 97% 90%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → TPA 17:30 → MIA 18:47AA 2798 1h 12m Miami MIA 19:59 → CMH 22:44AA 3616 · flown by Envoy 5h 14m 58% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON