Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Nonstops that day


WN 1593 Southwest	ALB 05:31	DEN 07:43	5%	1%	0.6%	no record
UA 2750 United Flight history →	ALB 08:00	DEN 10:11	10%	2%	0.6%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	ALB 05:57 → IAD 07:29UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir	2h 44m Dulles	IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865	8h 08m	100%	93%
Southwest Details →	ALB 06:01 → BWI 07:27WN 167	3h 35m Baltimore	BWI 11:02 → DEN 13:00WN 994	8h 59m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429	1h 23m Atlanta	ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995	7h 05m	98%	90%
United Details →	ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225	3h 09m Chicago	ORD 10:56 → DEN 12:36UA 2857	8h 26m	100%	88%
United Details →	ALB 09:56 → IAD 11:28UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir	3h 07m Dulles	IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126	8h 33m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996	59m Detroit	DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113	5h 42m	94%	86%
Delta Details →	ALB 05:44 → LGA 06:44DL 5454 · flown by Endeavor	1h 01m New York	LGA 07:45 → DEN 09:53DL 751	6h 09m	95%	86%
Delta Details →	ALB 09:37 → DTW 11:24DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest	1h 18m Detroit	DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648	6h 08m	95%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON