Tuesday, October 13 · typical odds for a Tuesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 13 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 45–47% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 379 Delta Flight history →	RSW 11:11	LGA 14:00	45%	21%	5.3%	76%worse than usual
DL 2310 Delta Flight history →	RSW 19:30	LGA 22:34	47%	22%	6.9%	64%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	1h 11m Atlanta	ATL 08:30 → LGA 10:41DL 513	5h 06m	93%	72%
Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	1h 57m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	5h 57m	97%	70%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525	6h 47m	98%	62%
Delta Details →	RSW 15:41 → ATL 17:34DL 1196	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 21:29 → LGA 23:36DL 520	7h 55m	99%	58%
Delta Details →	RSW 14:32 → MSP 17:04DL 2400	2h 54m Minneapolis	MSP 19:58 → LGA 23:40DL 2733	9h 08m	92%	58%
American Details →	RSW 07:47 → CLT 09:52AA 2241	1h 54m Charlotte	CLT 11:46 → LGA 13:48AA 2796	6h 01m	93%	57%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	1h 03m Atlanta	ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460	5h 02m	88%	52%
Delta Details →	RSW 17:49 → DTW 20:45DL 2559	1h 05m Detroit	DTW 21:50 → LGA 23:40DL 2603	5h 51m	86%	51%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	RSW 17:11 → ORD 19:28AA 2561	54m Chicago	ORD 20:22 → LGA 23:34AA 1166	6h 23m	52%	21%
American Details →	RSW 11:58 → ORD 14:15AA 2437	56m Chicago	ORD 15:11 → LGA 18:47AA 456	6h 49m	64%	20%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 13 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON