Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 9 cancellations among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 24 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (38%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BOS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~9.1 over 24 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 4:00 PM EST · 4.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 21:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 10 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday
What changed: about 9 → 10 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 24 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (41%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BOS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~9.8 over 24 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 5:00 PM EST · 3.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 22:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday
What changed: about 10 → 11 expected cancellations since the 5:00 PM EST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 23 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (46%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target BOS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~10.6 over 23 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM EST · 2.0 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-13 23:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?