tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2426 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 2426 · MIA → SFO

departs 8:35 PM ET · arrives 11:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
51% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.