Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2786 LANDED 12:04 AM MT, ~6 MIN EARLY

AA 2786 · ORD → PHX

took off 10:45 PM CT · landed 12:04 AM MT (scheduled 10:35 PM CT → 12:14 AM MT)
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±3 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.