tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2794 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2794 · CLT → EWR

departs 8:06 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    60%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.