Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3171 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 3171 · SNA → PHX

departs 1:24 PM PT · arrives 2:50 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±3 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.