tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 510 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 510 · LAX → LIH

departs 5:50 PM PT · arrives 8:48 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LIH?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.