Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 310 LANDED 11:59 PM MT, ~82 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 310 · SEA → DEN

took off 8:52 PM PT · landed 11:59 PM MT (scheduled 7:00 PM PT → 10:45 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±4 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SEA that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 310 · SEA → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?