Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 686SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 686 · SEA → PDX
departs 3:55 PM PT · arrives 4:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±0 pts+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.