Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 714 LANDED 4:14 PM CT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 714 · PDX → MSP

took off 11:21 AM PT · landed 4:14 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ 11am departures from PDX are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.90 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 714 · PDX → MSP

Odds over time