Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1533 LANDED 3:13 PM CT, ~26 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

DL 1533 · MSP → ORD

took off 1:44 PM CT · landed 3:13 PM CT (scheduled 1:25 PM CT → 3:05 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.54 in

ORD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1533 · MSP → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?