DL 2733 · MSP → LGA

departs 7:58 PM CT · arrives 11:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±7 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.90 in

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2733 · MSP → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?