Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2812
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
DL 2812 · DFW → SLC
departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 8:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 47%
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 6,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.