Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2954 IN THE AIR (OFF 9:52 PM CT, ETA 10:55 PM MT)

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 2954 · MSP → BZN

took off 9:52 PM CT · expected to land 10:55 PM MT (scheduled 10:23 PM CT → 11:52 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BZN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.54 in

BZN (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2954 · MSP → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?