Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 856 LANDED 7:53 PM ET, ~130 MIN LATE

Tuesday, September 29 Today

DL 856 · DFW → LGA

took off 3:54 PM CT · landed 7:53 PM ET (scheduled 1:15 PM CT → 5:53 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 856 · DFW → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?