Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1149
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
F9 1149 · MSP → DEN
departs 10:15 PM CT · arrives 11:32 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 44%
Thu 10/1 30%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.54 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.