Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1601
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
F9 1601 · PHL → LAS
departs 11:06 AM ET · arrives 1:32 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 25%
Thu 10/1 26%
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.