Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
F9 2445 · ORD → LAX
departs 9:13 PM CT · arrives 11:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 39%
Thu 10/1 64%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.