Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2698
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29
F9 2698 · PHX → CLE
departs 12:32 PM MT · arrives 7:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 36%
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.34 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.